Feb 21 Model Performance [MAE 8.15 over 147 games]

awayTeamhomeTeammodelSpreadawayScorehomeScoreAbs ErrorvegasSpreadATS WinnerStraight-UpATS
DukeMichigan-1.168636.08-2.5Duke
ArizonaHouston-1.173668.06-6Arizona
ConnecticutVillanova1.673638.432.5Connecticut
TexasGeorgia-1.680919.39-2.5Georgia
KentuckyAuburn-2.074751.03-3.5Kentucky
Illinois St.Bradley0.2607414.21-4.5Bradley
TennesseeVanderbilt-3.269657.25-3.5Tennessee
Notre DamePittsburgh0.568735.55-2.5Pittsburgh
Texas A&MOklahoma2.375711.70-1Texas A&M
ProvidenceDePaul1.371681.65-3Providence
Mississippi St.South Carolina-1.289976.781.5South Carolina
TroySouth Alabama0.2546511.201.5South Alabama
Oklahoma St.Colorado-2.4698311.63-4Colorado
StanfordCalifornia-2.466723.64-1.5California
Iowa St.BYU5.1697915.143BYU
DavidsonFordham1.159635.091Fordham
Wake ForestVirginia Tech-2.9638216.13-3.5Virginia Tech
San Diego St.Colorado St.3.1748312.132Colorado St.
FurmanWofford-0.976679.890.5Furman
West VirginiaTCU-3.554602.48-5.5TCU
AlabamaLSU4.690832.357.5LSU
St. BonaventureRichmond-2.394992.74-1.5Richmond
BuffaloMassachusetts-1.786825.65-7.5Buffalo
MontanaWeber St.-1.5729218.51-2Weber St.
North CarolinaSyracuse4.677648.43-2.5North Carolina
Loyola MarymountSan Diego1.4776510.642.5Loyola Marymount
Utah TechTarleton St.-1.680729.56-2.5Utah Tech
Miami FLVirginia-6.483863.41-7.5Miami FL
UC San DiegoUC Irvine-3.471695.38-4.5UC San Diego
Incarnate WordEast Texas A&M-0.582739.53-3.5Incarnate Word
RadfordUNC Asheville-1.573740.47-2.5Radford
PresbyterianUSC Upstate-0.574761.481USC Upstate
Central ArkansasFlorida Gulf Coast2.363610.280.5Central Arkansas
MonmouthCharleston-2.463748.62-5Charleston
Arizona St.Baylor-5.368730.31-8Arizona St.
LindenwoodTennessee Tech0.9577215.882Tennessee Tech
XavierButler-4.775800.27-4Butler
HarvardCornell-3.4735422.38-5.5Harvard
Montana St.Idaho St.3.2769118.182Idaho St.
SIUETennessee St.-2.4538024.58-3.5Tennessee St.
New OrleansLamar-3.277719.21-3New Orleans
GeorgetownSeton Hall-6.047511.98-5Georgetown
Utah St.Nevada7.2778010.204.5Nevada
MarshallCoastal Carolina3.275797.242.5Coastal Carolina
Alabama St.Florida A&M1.1637614.092Florida A&M
WyomingGrand Canyon-5.7706510.71-9Wyoming
LIUMercyhurst2.7839110.713.5Mercyhurst
UCFUtah5.773713.681.5UCF
James MadisonGeorgia St.2.4806512.601.5James Madison
Prairie View A&MArkansas Pine Bluff-1.382840.73-3.5Prairie View A&M
Southeast MissouriLittle Rock2.370652.682Southeast Missouri
DuquesneDayton-5.666786.44-6.5Dayton
Houston ChristianNorthwestern St.-1.9537116.09-2.5Northwestern St.
Western MichiganCentral Michigan-2.1708310.91-3.5Central Michigan
IllinoisUCLA9.2949510.166.5UCLA
Old DominionSouthern Miss-2.781862.30-4.5Southern Miss
IdahoSacramento St.3.686802.383.5Idaho
Grambling St.Southern-2.9738711.11-5.5Southern
Missouri St.FIU-4.467701.37-4Missouri St.
CSUNLong Beach St.3.878761.774Long Beach St.
LongwoodCharleston Southern-3.31079614.28-2.5Longwood
Utah ValleyUT Arlington5.866546.176.5Utah Valley
Eastern KentuckyBellarmine-3.195926.11-1.5Eastern Kentucky
UNC WilmingtonCampbell5.373680.282.5UNC Wilmington
Jackson St.Alcorn St.-1.5658316.45-0.5Alcorn St.
St. ThomasDenver4.880826.794.5Denver
MissouriArkansas-9.285940.19-9.5Missouri
Florida St.Clemson-8.4706513.44-8.5Florida St.
WashingtonMaryland7.2606411.153.5Maryland
OregonUSC-7.871708.80-5.5Oregon
Southern IllinoisNorthern Iowa-6.659578.64-6.5Southern Illinois
CincinnatiKansas-9.7846825.73-10.5Cincinnati
SamfordMercer-5.686892.64-4Samford
New MexicoFresno St.7.980785.879Fresno St.
TempleWichita St.-7.657694.44-8.5Wichita St.
Eastern WashingtonPortland St.-5.8675517.77-6.5Eastern Washington
Santa ClaraSan Francisco9.2947311.807Santa Clara
South DakotaOral Roberts3.562678.471Oral Roberts
Texas St.Louisiana4.3546717.313.5Louisiana
MaineNew Hampshire-3.161586.12-3.5Maine
ValparaisoIllinois Chicago-7.1716711.14-7.5Valparaiso
Georgia SouthernAppalachian St.-5.874899.20-6.5Appalachian St.
New HavenFairleigh Dickinson-3.4847710.43-2.5New Haven
Alabama A&MBethune Cookman-5.076854.03-6.5Bethune Cookman
WinthropHigh Point-9.187897.10-10.5Winthrop
North FloridaStetson-3.571761.47-1.5Stetson
OhioNorthern Illinois5.074662.976Ohio
Eastern MichiganToledo-6.9759412.06-8.5Toledo
RutgersMinnesota-8.3618010.718.5Minnesota
VermontNJIT5.170640.945Vermont
UC DavisUC Riverside5.978730.862.5UC Davis
Southern IndianaEastern Illinois-4.070686.04-4.5Southern Indiana
North DakotaSouth Dakota St.-6.283911.79-6.5South Dakota St.
WagnerSaint Francis3.965565.121.5Wagner
Saint Mary’sWashington St.10.383675.678Saint Mary’s
PortlandSeattle-7.559714.51-7Seattle
ChattanoogaThe Citadel4.3937216.684.5Chattanooga
Louisiana TechKennesaw St.-7.155584.07-6Louisiana Tech
Rhode IslandLa Salle7.3465920.284La Salle
DelawareMiddle Tennessee-6.266785.82-10.5Middle Tennessee
HamptonStony Brook-6.472790.61-5.5Stony Brook
Southern UtahAbilene Christian-5.683871.62-8Southern Utah
CreightonSt. John’s-12.3528116.66-12.5St. John’s
FloridaMississippi13.294755.8213.5Florida
Western KentuckyLiberty-9.7947330.74-7.5Western Kentucky
Maryland Eastern ShoreCoppin St.3.465719.452.5Coppin St.
Jacksonville St.Sam Houston St.-9.178825.09-7Jacksonville St.
DartmouthColumbia-8.264639.16-6.5Dartmouth
East CarolinaCharlotte-7.656684.42-4.5Charlotte
Le MoyneStonehill5.8687714.802Stonehill
UT Rio Grande ValleySoutheastern Louisiana7.4967513.563.5UT Rio Grande Valley
Kansas St.Texas Tech-13.87210014.22-12.5Texas Tech
PepperdineOregon St.-7.573832.45-9Oregon St.
Cal St. FullertonCal St. Bakersfield7.488800.576Cal St. Fullerton
North Carolina A&TElon-9.11028229.06-7.5North Carolina A&T
PennYale-12.470748.38-9.5Penn
UTEPNew Mexico St.-9.063674.98-7UTEP
Central ConnecticutChicago St.6.5517025.503.5Chicago St.
Delaware St.Morgan St.-6.068828.01-5.5Morgan St.
East Tennessee St.UNC Greensboro9.587752.526.5East Tennessee St.
Austin PeayJacksonville9.565615.467Jacksonville
PacificGonzaga-18.462719.38-21.5Pacific
HofstraNortheastern11.382682.737Hofstra
AlbanyUMBC-8.862664.78-7.5Albany
Loyola MDColgate-9.2981016.21-8.5Loyola MD
Penn St.Nebraska-19.064874.02-17.5Nebraska
Boston CollegeSMU-17.470946.64-14.5SMU
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisMcNeese-15.254700.78-14McNeese
Georgia TechLouisville-21.370874.33-23Georgia Tech
San Jose St.Boise St.-13.869841.22-17San Jose St.
West GeorgiaQueens-11.084914.00-11.5West Georgia
NavyArmy11.281636.778.5Navy
NichollsStephen F. Austin-15.4788112.40-12.5Nicholls
Loyola ChicagoSaint Joseph’s-12.261751.82-9.5Saint Joseph’s
Western CarolinaVMI9.381629.69-8.5Western Carolina
Indiana St.Belmont-17.470870.45-13Belmont
Northern ArizonaNorthern Colorado-12.1777811.08-12Northern Arizona
Morehead St.Western Illinois10.3815911.738.5Morehead St.
South Carolina St.Norfolk St.-10.571908.55-10Norfolk St.
BinghamtonUMass Lowell-10.679922.36-9.5UMass Lowell
North AlabamaLipscomb-14.651737.35-13Lipscomb
EvansvilleMurray St.-17.573882.53-14.5Murray St.
Arkansas St.Louisiana Monroe14.2102946.2014.5Louisiana Monroe
North Carolina CentralHoward-14.96710018.12-12.5Howard
UNLVAir Force16.291668.7716.5UNLV
Texas SouthernMississippi Valley St.13.1717214.0913Mississippi Valley St.
Kansas CityNorth Dakota St.-23.4599512.64-19.5North Dakota St.
Mean Abs Error 8.15 (Vegas MAE: 8.54) || Straight-up 100-47 || At-the-spread 80-67